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Lista de obras de Florian Pappenberger

A Forecast Evaluation of Planetary Boundary Layer Height Over the Ocean

artículo científico publicado en 2019

A High-Resolution National-Scale Hydrologic Forecast System from a Global Ensemble Land Surface Model

artículo científico publicado en 2016

A Vision for Hydrological Prediction

artículo científico publicado en 2020

A data assimilation approach to discharge estimation from space

article by Jeffrey Neal et al published 15 December 2009 in Hydrological Processes

A data based mechanistic approach to nonlinear flood routing and adaptive flood level forecasting

A first collective validation of global fluvial flood models for major floods in Nigeria and Mozambique ⬇️

scholarly article by Mark V Bernhofen et al published 1 October 2018 in Environmental Research Letters

A first large-scale flood inundation forecasting model

article

A pan-African medium-range ensemble flood forecast system

A revised land hydrology in the ECMWF model: a step towards daily water flux prediction in a fully-closed water cycle

article

A vision for improving global flood forecasting

artículo científico publicado en 2019

Action-based flood forecasting for triggering humanitarian action

Adaptation of the Integrated Catchment System to On-line Assimilation of ECMWF Forecasts

An Assessment of the ECMWF Extreme Forecast Index for Water Vapor Transport during Boreal Winter

article

An Efficient Approach for Estimating Streamflow Forecast Skill Elasticity

article

An Experiment on Risk-Based Decision-Making in Water Management Using Monthly Probabilistic Forecasts

An experiment with reflective middleware to support grid‐based flood monitoring

Application of a Medium-Range Global Hydrologic Probabilistic Forecast Scheme to the Ohio River Basin

Application of a medium range global hydrologic probabilistic forecast scheme to the Ohio River Basin

scholarly article by Nathalie Voisin et al published 24 March 2011 in Weather and Forecasting

Assessing heat-related health risk in Europe via the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI)

article

Assessment of a 1-hour gridded precipitation dataset to drive a hydrological model: a case study of the summer 2007 floods in the Upper Severn, UK

article

Automation and human expertise in operational river forecasting

Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts

article by Louise Crochemore et al published 6 September 2016 in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts

Borderless Heat Stress

artículo científico publicado en 2021

Borderless Heat Stress

artículo científico

Building a Multimodel Flood Prediction System with the TIGGE Archive

article

Cartograms for Use in Forecasting Weather-Driven Natural Hazards

artículo científico publicado en 2019

Challenges in communicating and using ensembles in operational flood forecasting

Challenges of Operational River Forecasting

Climate impacts on river flow: projections for the Medway catchment, UK, with UKCP09 and CATCHMOD

Communicating uncertainty in hydro-meteorological forecasts: mission impossible?

scholarly article by Maria-Helena Ramos et al published 17 May 2010 in Meteorological Applications

Comparison of different evaporation estimates over the African continent

article

Comparison of drought indicators derived from multiple data sets over Africa

article

Complex picture for likelihood of ENSO-driven flood hazard

artículo científico publicado en 2017

Conditioning Water Stages From Satellite Imagery on Uncertain Data Points

Conditioning model output statistics of regional climate model precipitation on circulation patterns

article

Continental and global scale flood forecasting systems

Corrigendum to "Seasonal predictions of agro-meteorological drought indicators for the Limpopo basin" published in Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2577–2586, 2015

scholarly article published in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Corrigendum: The credibility challenge for global fluvial flood risk analysis (2016 Environ. Res. Lett. 11 094014) ⬇️

scholarly article published in Environmental Research Letters

Coupling ensemble weather predictions based on TIGGE database with Grid-Xinanjiang model for flood forecast

Daily evaluation of 26 precipitation datasets using Stage-IV gauge-radar data for the CONUS

article by Hylke E. Beck et al published 16 January 2019 in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Daily evaluation of 26 precipitation datasets using Stage-IV gauge-radar data for the CONUS

Decision tree for choosing an uncertainty analysis methodology: a wiki experiment

article

Deriving distributed roughness values from satellite radar data for flood inundation modelling

article by Guy Schumann et al published September 2007 in Journal of Hydrology

Deriving global flood hazard maps of fluvial floods through a physical model cascade

article

Developing a global operational seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasting system: GloFAS v2.2 Seasonal v1.0

Developing a global operational seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasting system: GloFAS-Seasonal v1.0

scientific article published in 2018

Development of a European flood forecasting system

Development of a Global Fire Weather Database

article

Discrete Postprocessing of Total Cloud Cover Ensemble Forecasts

Do probabilistic forecasts lead to better decisions?

ECMWF Extreme Forecast Index for water vapor transport: A forecast tool for atmospheric rivers and extreme precipitation

scholarly article

ERA-Interim/Land: a global land surface reanalysis data set

article by Gianpaolo Balsamo et al published 21 January 2015 in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

ERA-Interim/Land: a global land water resources dataset

ERA5‐HEAT: A global gridded historical dataset of human thermal comfort indices from climate reanalysis

artículo científico publicado en 2020

Earlier awareness of extreme winter precipitation across the western Iberian Peninsula

article

Early warning of drought in Europe using the monthly ensemble system from ECMWF

Early warning of drought in Europe using the monthly ensemble system from ECMWF

Effects of temporal resolution of input precipitation on the performance of hydrological forecasting

Emergency flood bulletins for Cyclones Idai and Kenneth: A critical evaluation of the use of global flood forecasts for international humanitarian preparedness and response

artículo científico publicado en 2020

Ensemble flood forecasting in Africa: a feasibility study in the Juba-Shabelle river basin

scholarly article by Vera Thiemig et al published 24 March 2010 in Atmospheric Science Letters

Ensemble flood forecasting: A review

article

Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July-September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: a case study

scholarly article by Yi He et al published 28 April 2010 in Atmospheric Science Letters

Ensemble hydro-meteorological simulation for flash flood early detection in southern Switzerland

article

Estimating uncertainty associated with water stages from a single SAR image

article

Evaluating forecasts of extreme events for hydrological applications: an approach for screening unfamiliar performance measures

scholarly article by Hannah Cloke & Florian Pappenberger published 2008 in Meteorological Applications

Evaluating uncertain flood inundation predictions with uncertain remotely sensed water stages

Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach

article

Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach

Evaluation of ECMWF medium-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation for river basins

scholarly article by J. Ye et al published 14 December 2013 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Evaluation of ensemble streamflow predictions in Europe

Evaluation of the Consistency of ECMWF Ensemble Forecasts

artículo científico publicado en 2020

Evaluation of the ECMWF System 4 climate forecasts for streamflow forecasting in the Upper Hanjiang River Basin

Evaluation of the ERA5 reanalysis-based Universal Thermal Climate Index on mortality data in Europe

artículo científico publicado en 2021

Extending medium-range predictability of extreme hydrological events in Europe

artículo científico publicado en 2014

Flood Hazard Mapping Combining Hydrodynamic Modeling and Multi Annual Remote Sensing data

Flood Inundation Dynamics and Socioeconomic Vulnerability under Environmental Change

Flood hazard mapping combining high resolution multi-temporal SAR data and coarse resolution global hydrodynamic modelling

Forecast convergence score: a forecaster's approach to analysing hydro-meteorological forecast systems

Forecasters priorities for improving probabilistic flood forecasts

artículo científico publicado en 2013

Forecasting droughts in East Africa

article

Functional classification and evaluation of hydrographs based on Multicomponent Mapping (Mx)

article published in 2004

Fuzzy set approach to calibrating distributed flood inundation models using remote sensing observations

GloFAS – global ensemble streamflow forecasting and flood early warning

article

GloFAS-ERA5 operational global river discharge reanalysis 1979-present

artículo científico publicado en 2020

GloFAS-ERA5 operational global river discharge reanalysis 1979–present

artículo científico publicado en 2020

GloFAS-ERA5 operational global river discharge reanalysis 1979–present

artículo científico publicado en 2020

Global forecasting of thermal health hazards: the skill of probabilistic predictions of the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI)

artículo científico publicado en 2014

Global meteorological drought – Part 1: Probabilistic monitoring

Global meteorological drought – Part 2: Seasonal forecasts

Global predictability of temperature extremes

Global prediction of extreme floods in ungauged watersheds

artículo científico publicado en 2024

Global runoff routing with the hydrological component of the ECMWF NWP system

Global sensitivity analyses for a complex hydrological model applied in an Alpine watershed

Global-scale evaluation of 22 precipitation datasets using gauge observations and hydrological modeling

Global-scale evaluation of 23 precipitation datasets using gauge observations and hydrological modeling

Grasping the unavoidable subjectivity in calibration of flood inundation models: A vulnerability weighted approach

article published in 2007

HESS Opinions "Forecaster priorities for improving probabilistic flood forecasts"

HESS Opinions "On forecast (in)consistency in a hydro-meteorological chain: curse or blessing?"

HP today: on the pursuit of (im)perfection in flood forecasting

High-Resolution 3-D Flood Information From Radar Imagery for Flood Hazard Management

How do I know if I’ve improved my continental scale flood early warning system?

How do I know if my forecasts are better? Using benchmarks in hydrological ensemble prediction

Hydrological aspects of meteorological verification

scholarly article by Florian Pappenberger et al published 2008 in Atmospheric Science Letters

Hyperresolution information and hyperresolution ignorance in modelling the hydrology of the land surface

scholarly article by Keith Beven et al published 15 November 2014 in Science China Earth Sciences

Identification and simulation of space–time variability of past hydrological drought events in the Limpopo River basin, southern Africa

Ignorance is bliss: Or seven reasons not to use uncertainty analysis

article by Florian Pappenberger & K. J. Beven published May 2006 in Water Resources Research

Imbalanced land surface water budgets in a numerical weather prediction system

scholarly article

Impacts of uncertain river flow data on rainfall-runoff model calibration and discharge predictions

Improved seasonal prediction of the hot summer of 2003 over Europe through better representation of uncertainty in the land surface

article

Improving Forecasts of Biomass Burning Emissions with the Fire Weather Index

Improving Weather Predictability by Including Land Surface Model Parameter Uncertainty

article

Improving predictions and management of hydrological extremes through climate services

scholarly article by Bart J.J.M. van den Hurk et al published March 2016 in Climate Services

Improving the evaluation of hydrological multi-model forecast performance in the Upper Danube Catchment

Influence of uncertain boundary conditions and model structure on flood inundation predictions

Interconnection between the Indian and the East Asian summer monsoon: Spatial synchronization patterns of extreme rainfall events

artículo científico publicado en 2022

Interoperability challenges in river discharge modelling: A cross domain application scenario

Introduction of an Experimental Terrestrial Forecasting/Monitoring System at Regional to Continental Scales Based on the Terrestrial System Modeling Platform (v1.1.0)

Introduction of an Experimental Terrestrial Forecasting/Monitoring System at Regional to Continental Scales Based on the Terrestrial System Modeling Platform (v1.1.0)

Introduction of an Experimental Terrestrial Forecasting/Monitoring System at Regional to Continental Scales Based on the Terrestrial Systems Modeling Platform (v1.1.0)

Investigating the forecast predictability for fluvial flooding from tropical cyclones

artículo científico publicado en 2021

Joining Forces in a Global Flood Partnership

Mapping combined wildfire and heat stress hazards to improve evidence-based decision making

artículo científico publicado en 2019

Mean radiant temperature from global-scale numerical weather prediction models

artículo científico publicado en 2020

Mitigating the Impacts of Climate Nonstationarity on Seasonal Streamflow Predictability in the U.S. Southwest

scholarly article by Flavio Lehner et al published 23 December 2017 in Geophysical Research Letters

Modelling climate impact on floods with ensemble climate projections

scholarly article by Hannah Cloke et al published 13 August 2012 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Monthly-, medium-, and short-range flood warning: testing the limits of predictability

scholarly article by J. Thielen et al published March 2009 in Meteorological Applications

Multi-Model Grand Ensemble Hydrologic Forecasting in the Fu River Basin Using Bayesian Model Averaging

article

Multi-method global sensitivity analysis (MMGSA) for modelling floodplainhydrological processes

Multi-method global sensitivity analysis of flood inundation models

Multiscale error analysis, correction, and predictive uncertainty estimation in a flood forecasting system

New dimensions in early flood warning across the globe using grand-ensemble weather predictions

scholarly article

On the Operational Implementation of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS)

On the Use of Global Flood Forecasts and Satellite-Derived Inundation Maps for Flood Monitoring in Data-Sparse Regions

article

On the use of Weather Regimes to forecast meteorological drought over Europe

On the use of weather regimes to forecast meteorological drought over Europe

OpenIFS@home version 1: a citizen science project for ensemble weather and climate forecasting

artículo científico publicado en 2021

OpenIFS@home version 1: a citizen science project for ensemble weather and climate forecasting

artículo científico

Operational European Flood Forecasting

Operational early warning systems for water-related hazards in Europe

PPDIST, global 0.1° daily and 3-hourly precipitation probability distribution climatologies for 1979-2018

scientific article published on 11 September 2020

Parameter conditioning and prediction uncertainties of the LISFLOOD-WB distributed hydrological model

Plastic in global rivers: are floods making it worse?

artículo científico publicado en 2021

Plastic in global rivers: are floods making it worse?

artículo científico publicado en 2020

Precipitation and floodiness

scholarly article

Predicting the unprecedented: forecasting the June 2021 Pacific Northwest heatwave

scientific article published in 2022

Preface Towards practical applications in ensemble hydro-meteorological forecasting

Probabilistic flood forecasting and decision-making: an innovative risk-based approach

Progress in integration of remote sensing–derived flood extent and stage data and hydraulic models

article by Guy Schumann et al published 12 November 2009 in Reviews of Geophysics

Quality control, validation and user feedback of the European Flood Alert System (EFAS)

article published in 2011

Reducing Inconsistencies in Point Observations of Maximum Flood Inundation Level

Regionalization of post-processed ensemble runoff forecasts

Satellite and In Situ Observations for Advancing Global Earth Surface Modelling: A Review

Seasonal forecasting of fire over Kalimantan, Indonesia

scholarly article by A. C. Spessa et al published 6 March 2015 in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

Seasonal forecasts of droughts in African basins using the Standardized Precipitation Index

Seasonal streamflow forecasting by conditioning climatology with precipitation indices

article published in 2017

Seasonal streamflow forecasting by conditioning climatology with precipitation indices

Sensitivity analysis based on regional splits and regression trees (SARS-RT)

Sensitivity of model climate to sampling configurations and the impact on the Extreme Forecast Index

Should seasonal rainfall forecasts be used for flood preparedness?

Should seasonal rainfall forecasts be used for flood preparedness?

Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?

Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?

State of the Art of Flood Forecasting

Statistical calibration and bridging of ECMWF System4 outputs for forecasting seasonal precipitation over China

article

Summary of recommendations of the first workshop on Postprocessing and Downscaling Atmospheric Forecasts for Hydrologic Applications held at Météo-France, Toulouse, France, 15-18 June 2009

article

Supplementary material to "Developing a global operational seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasting system: GloFAS v2.2 Seasonal v1.0"

artículo científico publicado en 2018

Supplementary material to "Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach"

artículo científico publicado en 2016

Supplementary material to "Forecasters priorities for improving probabilistic flood forecasts"

artículo científico publicado en 2013

Supplementary material to "Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game"

artículo científico publicado en 2016

Technical Note: The normal quantile transformation and its application in a flood forecasting system

Technical review of large-scale hydrological models for implementation in operational flood forecasting schemes on continental level

article published in 2016

The 2010-2011 drought in the Horn of Africa in ECMWF reanalysis and seasonal forecast products

article

The Effect of Reference Climatology on Global Flood Forecasting

The European Flood Alert System and the communication, perception, and use of ensemble predictions for operational flood risk management

The Gauging and Modeling of Rivers in the Sky

article by David A. Lavers et al published 8 August 2018 in Geophysical Research Letters

The Potential Predictability of Fire Danger Provided by Numerical Weather Prediction

The Skill of ECMWF Precipitation and Temperature Predictions in the Danube Basin as Forcings of Hydrological Models

The Skill of Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts under Observational Uncertainties within the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation Framework for Hydrological Applications

article by Florian Pappenberger et al published June 2009 in Journal of Hydrometeorology

The TIGGE Project and Its Achievements

The credibility challenge for global fluvial flood risk analysis ⬇️

article

The extreme forecast index at the seasonal scale

article published in 2013

The extreme runoff index for flood early warning in Europe

The impact of uncertain precipitation data on insurance loss estimates using a Flood Catastrophe Model

article

The impact of uncertain precipitation data on insurance loss estimates using a flood catastrophe model

article

The impact of weather forecast improvements on large scale hydrology: analysing a decade of forecasts of the European Flood Alert System

scholarly article by Florian Pappenberger et al published 16 March 2011 in Hydrological Processes

The monetary benefit of early flood warnings in Europe

The potential value of seasonal forecasts in a changing climate in southern Africa

article

The role of rating curve uncertainty in real-time flood forecasting

article by David Ocio et al published May 2017 in Water Resources Research

Thermofeel: A python thermal comfort indices library

artículo científico publicado en 2022

Toward Global Drought Early Warning Capability: Expanding International Cooperation for the Development of a Framework for Monitoring and Forecasting

article

Tracking the uncertainty in flood alerts driven by grand ensemble weather predictions

scholarly article by Yi He et al published March 2009 in Meteorological Applications

Trends in the predictive performance of raw ensemble weather forecasts

scholarly article

Uncertainty Analysis in Environmental Modeling Made Easy

article by Florian Pappenberger et al published 16 January 2007 in Eos

Uncertainty analysis of the rainfall runoff model LisFlood within the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE)

article by Florian Pappenberger et al published June 2004 in International Journal of River Basin Management

Uncertainty in Flood Inundation Modelling

Uncertainty in the calibration of effective roughness parameters in HEC-RAS using inundation and downstream level observations

Uncertainty, sensitivity analysis and the role of data based mechanistic modeling in hydrology

scholarly article by M. Ratto et al published 3 May 2007 in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Understanding the roles of modernity, science, and risk in shaping flood management

Using grid technologies to optimise a wireless sensor network for flood management

scholarly article published 2006

Using the Fire Weather Index (FWI) to improve the estimation of fire emissions from fire radiative power (FRP) observations

scholarly article

Visualizing probabilistic flood forecast information: expert preferences and perceptions of best practice in uncertainty communication

scholarly article by Florian Pappenberger et al published 23 April 2012 in Hydrological Processes

Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game

article published in 2016

Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game

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