Secular Cycles

book by Peter Turchin and Sergey A. Nefedov

works by Peter Turchin

A Structural-Demographic Analysis of Japan: 1945–2050

A new era in the study of global history is born but it needs to be nurtured

A systematic assessment of 'Axial Age' proposals using global comparative historical evidence

An Integrative Approach to Estimating Productivity in Past Societies using Seshat: Global History Databank

An introduction to Seshat: Global History Databank

CRISES AVERTED How A Few Past Societies Found Adaptive Reforms in the Face of Structural- Demographic Crises

CRISES AVERTED How A Few Past Societies Found Adaptive Reforms in the Face of Structural- Demographic Crises

Cliopatria - A geospatial database of world-wide political entities from 3400BCE to 2024CE

Combining historical and archaeological data with crop models to estimate agricultural productivity in past societies

Disentangling the Evolutionary Drivers of Social Complexity in Human History: a Comprehensive Test of Hypotheses

Empirically Testing and Refining Structural Demographic Theory: A Methodological Guide

Evolutionary Pathways to Statehood: Old Theories and New Data

Explaining population booms and busts in Mid-Holocene Europe

Landscape of Fear: Indirect effects of conflict can account for large-scale population declines in non-state societies

Moralizing Supernatural Punishment and Reward: A Response to Critics

Navigating Polycrisis: long-run socio-cultural factors shape response to changing climate

Reply to Beheim et al.: Reanalyses confirm robustness of original analyses

Rise of the War Machines: Charting the Evolution of Military Technologies from the Neolithic to the Industrial Revolution

Soil fertility depletion is not a credible mechanism for population boom/bust cycles in early agricultural societies

Testing the Big Gods Hypothesis with global historical data: a review and ‘retake’

The 2010 Structural-Demographic Forecast for the 2010–2020 Decade: A Retrospective Assessment