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Lista de obras de Adam Scaife

A Census of Atmospheric Variability From Seconds to Decades

scholarly article by Paul D. Williams et al published 15 November 2017 in Geophysical Research Letters

A Comparison between Gravity Wave Momentum Fluxes in Observations and Climate Models

A GCM study of the influence of equatorial winds on the timing of sudden stratospheric warmings

article

A New HadGEM3-A-Based System for Attribution of Weather- and Climate-Related Extreme Events

article published in 2013

A lagged response to the 11 year solar cycle in observed winter Atlantic/European weather patterns

article

A mechanism for lagged North Atlantic climate response to solar variability

article

A stratospheric influence on the winter NAO and North Atlantic surface climate

article

An Intercomparison of Skill and Overconfidence/Underconfidence of the Wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation in Multimodel Seasonal Forecasts

scholarly article by L. H. Baker et al published 8 August 2018 in Geophysical Research Letters

An extreme negative Indian Ocean Dipole event in 2016: dynamics and predictability

An unexpected disruption of the atmospheric quasi-biennial oscillation

artículo científico publicado en 2016

Assessing and Understanding the Impact of Stratospheric Dynamics and Variability on the Earth System

article

Atmospheric Blocking and Mean Biases in Climate Models

article

Atmospheric Dynamics is the Largest Source of Uncertainty in Future Winter European Rainfall

scientific article published in 2018

Attribution of multi-annual to decadal changes in the climate system: The Large Ensemble Single Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (LESFMIP)

artículo científico publicado en 2022

California Winter Precipitation Predictability: Insights From the Anomalous 2015-2016 and 2016-2017 Seasons

article

Climate Processes: Clouds, Aerosols and Dynamics

Climate change projections and stratosphere–troposphere interaction

scholarly article by Adam A. Scaife et al published 27 May 2011 in Climate Dynamics

Climate impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation

artículo científico publicado en 2006

Cluster Analysis of North Atlantic–European Circulation Types and Links with Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures

article

Conditioning Ensemble Streamflow Prediction with the North Atlantic Oscillation improves skill at longer lead times

artículo científico publicado en 2020

Conditioning ensemble streamflow prediction with the North Atlantic Oscillation improves skill at longer lead times

artículo científico publicado en 2021

Corrigendum to: Tropical rainfall, Rossby waves and regional winter climate predictions

artículo científico publicado en 2019

Decadal to multidecadal variability and the climate change background

scholarly article by David Parker et al published 28 September 2007 in Journal of Geophysical Research

Different types of drifts in two seasonal forecast systems and their dependence on ENSO

article published in 2017

Distinct persistence barriers in two types of ENSO

scholarly article by Hong-Li Ren et al published 28 October 2016 in Geophysical Research Letters

Do seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions underestimate the predictability of the real world?

artículo científico publicado en 2014

Does increased atmospheric resolution improve seasonal climate predictions?

artículo científico publicado en 2019

Drivers and potential predictability of summer time North Atlantic polar front jet variability

article

Drivers of North Atlantic Polar Front jet stream variability

article

Earth's energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models

artículo científico publicado en 2015

Ensemble simulations of the cold European winter of 2005-2006

article

Estimating unprecedented extremes in UK summer daily rainfall

artículo científico publicado en 2022

European Climate Extremes and the North Atlantic Oscillation

scientific article published in 2008

Forecast cooling of the Atlantic subpolar gyre and associated impacts

artículo científico publicado en 2014

Forecasting the number of extreme daily events on seasonal timescales

article by Emily Hamilton et al published 8 February 2012 in Journal of Geophysical Research

Forecasting the number of extreme daily events out to a decade ahead

article by Rosie Eade et al published 15 November 2012 in Journal of Geophysical Research

From months to minutes - exploring the value of high-resolution rainfall observation and prediction during the UK winter storms of 2013/2014

article

Global Seasonal forecast system version 5 (GloSea5): a high-resolution seasonal forecast system

High risk of unprecedented UK rainfall in the current climate

artículo científico publicado en 2017

How extreme could the near term evolution of the Indian Summer Monsoon rainfall be?

artículo científico publicado en 2022

How potentially predictable is northern European winter climate a season ahead?

article

Impact of soil moisture initialization on boreal summer subseasonal forecasts: mid-latitude surface air temperature and heat wave events

article

Impact of stratospheric variability on tropospheric climate change

scholarly article by Mauro Dall’Amico et al published 18 July 2009 in Climate Dynamics

Impact of the QBO on surface winter climate

article

Improved Atlantic winter blocking in a climate model

article

Improved predictability of stratospheric sudden warming events in an atmospheric general circulation model with enhanced stratospheric resolution

article

Improved seasonal prediction of UK regional precipitation using atmospheric circulation

Interannual fluctuations in the seasonal cycle of nitrous oxide and chlorofluorocarbons due to the Brewer-Dobson circulation

artículo científico publicado en 2013

Intraseasonal Persistence of European Surface Temperatures

Missing eddy feedback may explain weak signal-to-noise ratios in climate predictions

scientific article published in 2022

Modes of climate variability: Synthesis and review of proxy-based reconstructions through the Holocene

artículo científico publicado en 2020

Multidecadal modulation of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variance by Atlantic Ocean sea surface temperatures

scholarly article

Naturally forced multidecadal variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

article published in 2014

North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply

artículo científico publicado en 2020

Northern winter climate change: Assessment of uncertainty in CMIP5 projections related to stratosphere-troposphere coupling

article

On the influence of stratospheric water vapor changes on the tropospheric circulation

scholarly article

Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the SPARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi)

article published in 2018

Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the SPARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi)

Possible impacts of a future grand solar minimum on climate: Stratospheric and global circulation changes. ⬇️

artículo científico publicado en 2015

Potential influences on the United Kingdom's floods of winter 2013/14

article

Predictability of European winter 2015/2016

article

Predictability of European winter 2016/2017

article

Predictability of the 2017 North Atlantic hurricane season

Predictability of the quasi-biennial oscillation and its northern winter teleconnection on seasonal to decadal timescales

article

Predictable and Unpredictable Components of the Summer East Asia–Pacific Teleconnection Pattern

article

Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5o C

article

Predicting El Niño in 2014 and 2015

artículo científico publicado en 2018

Predictions of Climate Several Years Ahead Using an Improved Decadal Prediction System

article by Jeff R. Knight et al published October 2014 in Journal of Climate

Rare forecasted climate event under way in the Southern Hemisphere

scientific article published on 01 September 2019

Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions

article

Realistic quasi-biennial oscillations in a simulation of the global climate

article

Recent multivariate changes in the North Atlantic climate system, with a focus on 2005-2016 ⬇️

Recent seasonal asymmetric changes in the NAO (a marked summer decline and increased winter variability) and associated changes in the AO and Greenland Blocking Index

article

Regional climate impacts of a possible future grand solar minimum ⬇️

artículo científico publicado en 2015

Reply to 'Drivers of the 2013/14 winter floods in the UK'

article

Response of the stratosphere to interannual variability of tropospheric planetary waves

article

Retrospective forecasts of the upcoming winter season snow accumulation in the Inn headwaters (European Alps)

Retrospective forecasts of the upcoming winter season snow accumulation in the Inn headwaters (European Alps)

article published in 2017

Risk and dynamics of unprecedented hot months in South East China

article

Role of Atmospheric Indices in Describing Inshore Directional Wave Climate in the United Kingdom and Ireland

artículo científico publicado en 2021

Role of volcanic and anthropogenic aerosols in the recent global surface warming slowdown

article

Seasonal Forecasts of the Summer 2016 Yangtze River Basin Rainfall

article

Seasonal Prediction Skill of Northern Extratropical Surface Temperature Driven by the Stratosphere

Seasonal Rainfall Forecasts for the Yangtze River Basin in the Extreme Summer of 2020

artículo científico publicado en 2021

Seasonal and interannual variability of the stratosphere diagnosed from UKMO TOVS analyses

Seasonal forecasting of groundwater levels in principal aquifers of the United Kingdom

article

Seasonal forecasting of tropical storms using the Met Office GloSea5 seasonal forecast system

article

Seasonal forecasts of northern hemisphere winter 2009/10

article

Seasonal predictability of winter ENSO types in operational dynamical model predictions

article

Seasonal to decadal prediction of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation: emerging capability and future prospects

article

Seasonal winter forecasts and the stratosphere

article

Simulations of Dynamics and Transport during the September 2002 Antarctic Major Warming

article

Simulations of anthropogenic change in the strength of the Brewer–Dobson circulation

article by N. Butchart et al published 16 August 2006 in Climate Dynamics

Skilful Seasonal Predictions of Summer European Rainfall

article

Skilful multi-year predictions of Atlantic hurricane frequency

article by Doug M. Smith et al published 7 November 2010 in Nature Geoscience

Skill of Indian summer monsoon rainfall prediction in multiple seasonal prediction systems

artículo científico publicado en 2018

Skill of dynamical and GHACOF consensus seasonal forecasts of East African rainfall

artículo científico publicado en 2019

Skillful Seasonal Forecasts of Summer Surface Air Temperature in Western China by Global Seasonal Forecast System Version 5

article

Skillful long-range prediction of European and North American winters

article

Skillful seasonal prediction of Yangtze river valley summer rainfall

article

Solar Forcing for CMIP6 (v3.1)

Solar forcing for CMIP6 (v3.2) ⬇️

artículo científico publicado en 2017

Solar forcing of winter climate variability in the Northern Hemisphere

article

Stratospheric influence on circulation changes in the Southern Hemisphere troposphere in coupled climate models

scholarly article

Stratospheric influence on tropospheric jet streams, storm tracks and surface weather

article by Joseph Kidston et al published 18 May 2015 in Nature Geoscience

Stratospheric initial conditions provide seasonal predictability of the North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations

artículo científico publicado en 2019

Stratospheric temperature trends: impact of ozone variability and the QBO

article published in 2009

Supplementary material to "Conditioning Ensemble Streamflow Prediction with the North Atlantic Oscillation improves skill at longer lead times"

artículo científico publicado en 2020

Ten new insights in climate science 2020 – a horizon scan

artículo científico publicado en 2021

The CLIVAR C20C project: selected twentieth century climate events

The CLIVAR C20C project: skill of simulating Indian monsoon rainfall on interannual to decadal timescales. Does GHG forcing play a role?

article by F. Kucharski et al published 9 September 2008 in Climate Dynamics

The CLIVAR C20C project: which components of the Asian–Australian monsoon circulation variations are forced and reproducible?

article

The Circulation Response to Idealized Changes in Stratospheric Water Vapor

article

The Climate-system Historical Forecast Project: do stratosphere-resolving models make better seasonal climate predictions in boreal winter?

article

The GCM–Reality Intercomparison Project for SPARC (GRIPS): Scientific Issues and Initial Results

The Influence of Surface Forcings on Prediction of the North Atlantic Oscillation Regime of Winter 2010/11

article

The Life Cycle and Variability of Antarctic Weak Polar Vortex Events

artículo científico publicado en 2022

The Met Office Global Coupled Model 3.0 and 3.1 (GC3.0 and GC3.1) Configurations

The Physical Properties of the Atmosphere in the New Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model (HadGEM1). Part II: Aspects of Variability and Regional Climate

article

The Representation of Atmospheric Blocking and the Associated Low-Frequency Variability in Two Seasonal Prediction Systems

The SAO and Kelvin waves in the EuroGRIPS GCMS and the UK Met. Office analyses

The Stratosphere–Troposphere Oscillation as the Dominant Intraseasonal Coupling Mode between the Stratosphere and Troposphere

artículo científico publicado en 2023

The association between stratospheric weak polar vortex events and cold air outbreaks in the Northern Hemisphere

artículo científico publicado en 2010

The impact of stratospheric aerosol intervention on the North Atlantic and Quasi-Biennial Oscillations in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) G6sulfur experiment

artículo científico publicado en 2022

The influence of ENSO on winter North Atlantic climate

article

The influence of dynamical variability on the observed Brewer-Dobson circulation trend

scholarly article

The role of the stratosphere in the European climate response to El Niño

article

Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts

scholarly article by Adam A. Scaife et al published October 2009 in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Towards Prediction of Decadal Climate Variability and Change

article by J. Murphy et al published 2010 in Procedia environmental sciences

Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate

Tropical Cumulus Convection and Upward-Propagating Waves in Middle-Atmospheric GCMs

Tropical Rainfall Linked to Stronger Future ENSO‐NAO Teleconnection in CMIP5 Models

scientific article published in 2020

Tropical rainfall predictions from multiple seasonal forecast systems

Tropical rainfall, Rossby waves and regional winter climate predictions

article

Variability in North Sea wind energy and the potential for prolonged winter wind drought

artículo científico publicado en 2023

Interannual variability of the stratosphere

tesis doctoral

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